Quipu CFO: AI Process Selection


QuipuCFO Newsletter

The 32-Point Gap: Why Half of CFOs Think They've Adopted AI — But Haven't

Welcome to QuipuCFO

This newsletter explores how finance leaders can implement AI strategically: separating what works from what doesn't. Each edition examines real cases, surfaces patterns from research, and offers one concrete action you can take this week.

I'm developing The CFO AI Playbook — a complete implementation methodology covering the full CFO decision journey: from strategy and process selection through budgeting, governance, and digital roadmap. Each chapter builds on the last. I reverse-engineered top consulting firms' frameworks for finance transformation—McKinsey, BCG, Bain, Big 4—to identify what actually delivers ROI.

This cross-firm analysis reveals what systematically works across all major consultancies, not just one methodology. Publication target: Q1 2026. This newsletter tests those frameworks against real-world evidence.

This newsletter tests and refines those frameworks with real-world evidence. Your feedback shapes the final work.

New research reveals a dangerous disconnect between finance leadership and the front line. The same pattern that forced Klarna to rehire 700 people is playing out in finance departments right now.

The difference? Systematic implementation frameworks, not better technology.

The Same Mistake in Finance

The Klarna story might seem distant from your finance function. It's not. The same pattern is showing up in The Hackett Group's research on finance AI adoption.

Organizations are planning AI for deterministic processes — cost accounting (22% planning, only 4% piloting), general accounting and close (26% planning, <4% piloting), and transaction processing (18% planning, 4% piloting). These are rules-based processes where traditional automation delivers better results.

Meanwhile, the processes where AI actually excels — FP&A, forecasting, anomaly detection — show the highest success rates.

The CFO/Controller perception gap explains why. From the C-suite, AI looks transformative: sophisticated board commentary, automated dashboards, scenario modeling. But as one Financial Controller told researchers:

"Strategic commentary may look automated, but many operational finance staff still export spreadsheets, fix data manually, and stitch together numbers before AI tools can even begin their analysis."

CFOs are seeing the presentation layer. Controllers are seeing the engine room. And the engine room is still manual.

What Winners Do Differently

While most organizations struggle, a small percentage are achieving breakthrough results. The difference isn't better technology — it's understanding where AI actually works.

Allianz transformed its FP&A function by deploying AI for data aggregation, natural language queries, and anomaly detection. Result: 60% reduction in manual workload, with analysts redirecting time toward strategic analysis.

Aviva deployed 80+ AI models across its claims operation — but specifically for pattern recognition tasks like liability assessment and routing. Result: 23 days cut from assessment time, 65% fewer customer complaints, and Net Promoter Scores that increased seven-fold.

Lufthansa used AI to consolidate procurement data from 20+ ERP systems, applying pattern recognition to identify spend anomalies and price volatility. The same approach now powers their Scope 3 carbon reporting.

The pattern is consistent: AI succeeds when deployed to processes involving pattern recognition, unstructured data synthesis, and anomaly detection. It fails — or adds unnecessary complexity — when applied to deterministic, rules-based processes that need 100% accuracy and audit trails.

The Insight

"Use GenAI where it's about language, not math." - Boston Consulting Group

Many finance workflows involve deterministic questions with only one correct answer: verifying sales, reconciling accounts, ensuring regulatory compliance. GenAI isn't built for those. Traditional automation — Python scripting, RPA, SQL-based queries — delivers superior results for precision work.

AI transforms processes involving pattern recognition across large datasets, synthesis of unstructured information, and generating insights from complex patterns. Budget variance analysis, forecasting, document processing, spend analytics — these are AI's sweet spot.

The 5% of organizations achieving tangible AI ROI aren't smarter or better funded. They're deploying AI where it actually works — and using traditional tools where those work better.

This Week's Action

Close the perception gap. Ask: "For each AI tool we've deployed, how much manual work happens before the AI can do its job?"

If the answer involves exporting spreadsheets, fixing data, or stitching together numbers — you've found where the real transformation needs to happen. And it might not be AI.

This week's articles

The 32-Point Perception Gap

New research from The CFO reveals how differently CFOs and Controllers see AI adoption. The disconnect explains why so many implementations fail to deliver.


Klarna's AI Reversal

After claiming AI could replace 700 workers, Klarna is now rehiring humans. The CEO admits cost was "too predominant a factor" — a cautionary tale for any function rushing to automate.

AVIVA's AI Success

UK insurer Aviva worked with McKinsey to transform its claims operation by deploying AI across the entire customer journey. Their success came from deploying AI precisely where the Process Selection Framework predicts it should work: pattern recognition tasks.

61% Exploring AI

In 2024, finance executives exploration activity has been robust (61%), but few organizations (4%) are actively maturing or scaling their use of Gen AI. Maturation was expetcted increase rapidly in 2025, though. Finance executives expected a 20% net growth in adoption.

Close the perception gap. Ask your Financial Controller this question: "For each AI tool we've deployed, how much manual work happens before the AI can do its job?"

If the answer involves exporting spreadsheets, fixing data, or stitching together numbers — you've found where the real transformation needs to happen. And it might not be AI.

What surprised you? Reply and tell me. I read every response.

Go Deeper: The CFO AI Playbook

Process selection — the focus of this edition — is one chapter in a larger methodology I'm developing for finance leaders implementing AI.The CFO AI Playbook covers the complete decision journey, with each chapter building on the last, including subjects like, AI ROI, Budgeting, Human AI collaboration, Governance & Compliance, Internal Control design and Data Quality for AI implementation.

Join the waitlist at www.quipucfo.com for early access and updates as the work develops.